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Key EM CDS Indices & 10Y Government Bonds YTM of September 7-11

September 16, 2020 | Cbonds

CDS of EM countries of the LatAm region and their 10Y Government Bonds YTM had been demonstrating high fluctuations during the previous week. CDS 5Y Brazil had been decreasing, apart from a sharp growth on Wednesday after the publication of August inflation of 0.24%. The result was below July’s 0.36% but the highest for August since 2016. Brazil 10Y YTM was stable until sharp growth on Friday caused by the publication of new unemployment insurance claims data, which demonstrated a significant decrease in August and was considered a sign that the labor market has passed the worst of the coronavirus crisis.  

CDS 5Y Colombia was highly volatile during the previous week, 10Y YTM slightly decreased at the end of the week amidst mass demonstrations in Bogota organized by labor unions against economic and social policies of President Ivan Duque.

CDS 5Y Turkey and Turkey 10Y YTM have reached a peak on Wednesday and slightly decreased at the end of the week. Fitch Ratings revised up its forecast for economic activity in Turkey this year, citing an improvement in manufacturing orders. On the other side, the official number of jobless in Turkey has increased by 136,000 to 4.1 million, according to the latest official data of the Turkish Statistical Institute. Moreover, Moody's downgraded Turkey to B2.

CDS 5Y Egypt
had been showing a stable decline since the beginning of September. Egypt 10Y YTM was almost at the same level during the last week. Egyptian pound exchange rate against the US dollar hit its highest level since mid-May. Egypt’s inflation rate dropped 0.3% year-on-year last August.

CDS 5Y Indonesia had been increasing throughout the previous week, but fell a little on Monday after Deputy Finance Minister disclosed the information that Indonesia’s debt has risen significantly this year as the government has ramped up spending to rescue an economy battered by the coronavirus pandemic. Indonesia 10Y YTM slightly increased on Friday, exceeding the level of the beginning of the week.

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