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Cbonds Consensus, Russia, February 2012
The poll was held on 24.01.2012-31.01.2012. Number of respondents: 12. Publication date: 09.02.2012
| Policy rates, % & Index | Pronóstico promedio | Mediana | Valor real |
Consumer Prices (CPI, Russia) (monthly), % | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
|
Refinancing Rate of CBR, % | 8 | 8 | 8 |
|
Deposit rate, O/N, % | 4 | 4 | 4 |
|
3M LIBOR USD | 0.55 | 0.51 | 0.54 |
|
MOSPRIME 3M | 6.56 | 6.75 | 6.97 |
|
NDF USD/RUB 1Y mid | 5.49 | 5.4 | 5.5 |
|
USD/RUB | 30.7 | 30.63 | 30.36 |
|
EUR/USD | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.32 |
|
Brent Crude Oil | 111 | 110 | 111.06 |
|
Gold (USD/ounce, London) | 1740 | 1725 | 1744 |
| Benchmark yield, % | Pronóstico promedio | Mediana | Valor real |
|
UST 10Y YTM | 1.95 | 1.93 | 1.79 |
|
Russia-2030 YTM, % | 4.31 | 4.4 | 4.57 |
|
OFZ YTM 3Y, % | 7.23 | 7.3 | 7.45 |
|
OFZ YTM 5Y, % | 7.57 | 7.65 | 7.76 |
|
Muni YTM (3Y), % | 8.32 | 8.25 | 8.12 |
|
Domestic corporate bonds (1st tier), YTM (3Y), % | 8.63 | 8.63 | 8.76 |
|
Domestic corporate bonds (2nd tier), YTM (2Y), % | 9.75 | 9.75 | 9.75 |
|
Domestic corporate bonds (3d tier), YTM (1Y), % | 10.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 |
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