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Lebanon: bonds

Lebanon has a long tradition of domestic free trade and investment policies, with free market pricing for most goods and services, an unrestricted exchange and trade system and extensive links with the developed world in practically all economic activities. The Government has maintained a generally non-interventionist stance toward private investment, and public ownership has generally been limited to infrastructure and utilities. There are no restrictions on the movement of capital and goods by residents and non-residents of the Republic, including on entry or exit of firms or on access to foreign exchange, which makes Lebanon a supportive system for private sector development.
GDP registered high growth rates for the period from 1993 to 1995, averaging an estimated real growth rate of 7.2 percent per annum. Real GDP grew at slower estimated rates of 4.0 percent in 1996 and 1997, 3.6 percent in 1998, (0.5) percent in 1999 and 1.3 percent in 2000. Real GDP growth was 4.0 percent in 2001, 3.4 percent in 2002, and 3.2 percent in 2003. In 2004, real GDP growth increased to 7.5 percent, while declining to 1.2 percent in 2005. In 2006, real GDP growth was 1.4 percent, increasing to 8.4 percent in 2007, 8.6 percent in 2008, 9.0 percent in 2009 and 7.0 percent in 2010.
As of December 31, 2011, the Republic’s gross public debt was LL 80,869 billion (U.S.$53.6 billion) consisting of LL 49,340 billion of gross domestic debt and LL 31,529 billion of public external debt. Net outstanding public debt of the Republic was LL 69,885 billion (U.S.$46.4 billion) as of December 31, 2011.

Outstanding bond issues

Moneda Outstanding bond issues Cumulative volume
Soberano
LBP 229 37 739 657 051 850
USD 30 26 257 469 000
EUR 1 445 000 000
Corporativo
USD 4 1 250 000 000

Sovereign rating

Rating AgencyRatingRating scaleDate
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) *** Country Risk Classifications ***
Moody's Investors Service *** LT- foreign currency ***
Moody's Investors Service *** LT- local currency ***
S&P Global Ratings *** Foreign Currency LT ***
S&P Global Ratings *** Local Currency LT ***
Fitch Ratings *** LT Int. Scale (foreign curr.) ***
Fitch Ratings *** LT Int. Scale (local curr.) ***
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Latest bond issues

issue ISIN coupon volume end of placement maturity date
BLOM Bank, 7.5% 4may2023, USD - Bonos internacionales XS1790041278 7.5% 300 000 000  USD 27/04/18 04/05/23
Libanon, 7.08 17apr2025 - Bonos locales LBT180863849 7.08% 300 020 992 000  LBP 24/04/18 17/04/25
Libanon, 6.5 22apr2021 - Bonos locales LBT180863369 6.5% 300 606 016 000  LBP 24/04/18 22/04/21
Libanon, 6.74 13apr2023 - Bonos locales LBT180862601 6.74% 200 171 008 000  LBP 17/04/18 13/04/23
Libanon, 7.46 30mar2028 - Bonos locales LBT1808610A6 7.46% 1 000 369 984 000  LBP 10/04/18 30/03/28
Libanon, 6.74 30mar2023 - Bonos locales 6.74% 139 037 000 000  LBP 03/04/18 30/03/23
Libanon, 6.5 25mar2021 - Bonos locales LBT180859367 6.5% 350 737 984 000  LBP 27/03/18 25/03/21
Libanon, 7.08 20mar2025 - Bonos locales LBT180859847 7.08% 350 177 984 000  LBP 27/03/18 20/03/25
Libanon, 6.74 16mar2023 - Bonos locales LBT180858609 6.74% 3 499 699 840 000  LBP 20/03/18 16/03/23
Libanon, 7.46 03mar2028 - Bonos locales LBT1808570A2 7.46% 350 203 008 000  LBP 13/03/18 02/03/28

World Bond market statistics

Quarterly indices

Type I 2017 IV 2016 III 2016 II 2016 I 2016 IV 2015 III 2015
BIS volume of international-bond market of emerging countries
Lebanese international bonds, USD bln 40.800 39.200 39.100 39.100 37.100 37.400 35.800
BIS net issues of international-bond market of emerging countries
International-bond net issue of Lebanon, USD bln 1.600 0.100   2.000 -0.300 1.600 -0.500

Emerging Markets International Bonds

Monthly indices

Type Mar 2018 Feb 2018 Jan 2018 Dec 2017 Nov 2017 Oct 2017 Sep 2017
Middle East International Bonds Markets (adjusted for amortization)
Lebanon international bonds, USD bln 27.436 28.060 28.070 28.052 31.162 30.152 30.934
Lebanon corporate international bonds, USD bln 0.650 0.650 0.650 0.650 1.150 1.150 1.150
Lebanon sovereign international bonds, USD bln 26.786 27.410 27.420 27.402 30.012 29.002 29.784
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Currencies

Daily indices

Type: 23/05/18 22/05/18 21/05/18 18/05/18 17/05/18 16/05/18 15/05/18
Exchange Rates (Emerging Markets)
USD/LBP 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000
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Credit Risk Indicators

Daily indices

Type: 23/05/18 22/05/18 21/05/18 18/05/18 17/05/18 16/05/18 15/05/18
CDS Lebanon (Interactive Data)
CDS 6M Lebanon 449.3400 455.7600 488.2600 482.0400 446.5100 473.0100 502.8700
CDS 1Y Lebanon 502.8400 509.8600 545.9800 538.5800 498.8300 528.2400 561.3600
CDS 2Y Lebanon 530.2800 537.7000 575.7800 568.1200 526.2600 547.8600 582.2600
CDS 3Y Lebanon 551.2200 558.9300 598.4300 590.5700 547.1500 562.5200 597.8200
CDS 4Y Lebanon 565.6700 573.5800 614.0300 606.0400 561.5900 571.6300 607.4800
CDS 5Y Lebanon 586.7700 594.9400 636.6400 628.4000 582.5700 581.6200 618.0300
CDS 7Y Lebanon 592.8100 600.7900 641.4500 633.4500 588.7100 572.3300 607.1600
CDS 10Y Lebanon 600.7100 608.3300 647.1000 639.4700 596.7600 570.2900 603.0800
CDS 15Y Lebanon 606.6700 613.8000 650.1200 642.9800 602.9200 571.1700 601.5800
CDS 20Y Lebanon 608.7700 615.6500 650.7900 643.8800 605.1200 571.5900 600.8100
CDS 30Y Lebanon 609.5600 616.2400 650.4000 643.6800 606.0100 571.4100 599.6100
Default Probability Lebanon (Interactive Data)
6M Default Probability Lebanon 3.4500 3.5100 3.7800 3.7800 3.5300 3.7500 4.0000
1Y Default Probability Lebanon 7.0700 7.1900 7.7000 7.6600 7.1300 7.5500 8.0200
2Y Default Probability Lebanon 13.9000 14.1000 15.0400 14.9100 13.9100 14.4400 15.3000
3Y Default Probability Lebanon 20.6400 20.9100 22.2400 22.0300 20.6000 21.1000 22.2800
4Y Default Probability Lebanon 27.0300 27.3700 29.0200 28.7500 26.9600 27.3100 28.7800
5Y Default Probability Lebanon 33.6400 34.0400 35.9800 35.6600 33.5400 33.3100 35.0000
7Y Default Probability Lebanon 43.8300 44.2800 46.4600 46.0900 43.7000 42.3200 44.2200
10Y Default Probability Lebanon 56.5900 57.0500 59.2500 58.8600 56.4300 54.0800 56.0200
15Y Default Probability Lebanon 71.7800 72.1700 74.0300 73.7000 71.6300 68.8800 70.5700
20Y Default Probability Lebanon 81.5900 81.9000 83.3600 83.1000 81.4600 78.9100 80.2900
30Y Default Probability Lebanon 92.0400 92.2200 93.0400 92.9000 91.9700 90.2400 91.0600
CDS Emerging markets (sov.) 
CDS 5Y Lebanon mid * * *   * * *
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Macroeconomic Indicators (World economy)

Monthly indices

Type Mar 2018 Feb 2018 Jan 2018 Dec 2017 Nov 2017 Oct 2017 Sep 2017
Inflation Rate (World), % to the same period of the previous year
Inflation Rate (Lebanon) 5.35 5.19 5.55 5.01 4.79 4.62 4.15
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Yearly indices

Type 2016 2015 2014
Government Debt to GDP (World), %
Government Debt to GDP(Lebanon) 148.00 139.00 134.00

JP Morgan

Daily indices

Type: 30/10/13 29/10/13 28/10/13 25/10/13 24/10/13 23/10/13 22/10/13
EMBI Global (publication was suspended since 30.10.2013) 
EMBI Global Lebanon * * * * * * *
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Cotizaciones

issue volume maturity date bid prices ask prices
date bid price yield date ask price yield
Libanon, 3.750% 20jul2017, USD   USD 20/07/17 18/05/16 **.**** *.** 18/05/16 **.**** *.**
Libanon, 4.0% 31dec2017, USD   USD 31/12/17 18/05/16 **.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.*** *.**
Libanon, 4.750% 2nov2016, USD   USD 02/11/16 18/05/16 ***.*** *.** 18/05/16 ***.* *.**
Libanon, 5.0% 12oct2017, USD   USD 12/10/17 18/05/16 ***.*** *.** 18/05/16 ***.** *.**
Libanon, 5.0% 27may2018, USD   USD 27/05/18 18/05/16 **.**** *.** 18/05/16 ***.**** *.**
Libanon, 5.150% 12jun2018, USD   USD 12/06/18 18/05/16 **.* *.** 18/05/16 ***.* *.**
Libanon, 5.150% 12nov2018, USD   USD 12/11/18 18/05/16 ***.*** *.** 18/05/16 ***.** *.**
Libanon, 5.350% 28nov2018, EUR   EUR 28/11/18 18/05/16 ***.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.** *.**
Libanon, 5.450% 28nov2019, USD   USD 28/11/19 18/05/16 **.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.** *.**
Libanon, 5.5% 23apr2019, USD   USD 23/04/19 18/05/16 **.*** *.** 18/05/16 ***.*** *.**
Libanon, 5.8% 14apr2020, USD   USD 14/04/20 18/05/16 **.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.* *.**
Libanon, 6.0% 20may2019, USD   USD 20/05/19 18/05/16 ***.*** *.** 18/05/16 ***.* *.**
Libanon, 6.0% 27jan2023, USD   USD 27/01/23 18/05/16 **.*** *.** 18/05/16 **.** *.**
Libanon, 6.10% 4oct2022, USD   USD 04/10/22 18/05/16 **.*** *.** 18/05/16 **.** *.*
Libanon, 6.15% 19jun2020, USD   USD 19/06/20 18/05/16 ***.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.*** *.**
Libanon, 6.2% 26feb2025, USD   USD 26/02/25 18/05/16 **.*** *.** 18/05/16 **.** *.**
Libanon, 6.25% 4nov2024, USD   USD 04/11/24 18/05/16 ** *.** 18/05/16 **.** *.*
Libanon, 6.250% 12jun2025, USD   USD 12/06/25 18/05/16 **.** *.** 18/05/16 **.** *.**
Libanon, 6.375% 9mar2020, USD   USD 09/03/20 18/05/16 ***.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.** *.**
Libanon, 6.60% 27nov2026, USD   USD 27/11/26 18/05/16 **.** *.** 18/05/16 **.* *.**
Libanon, 6.65% 22apr2024, USD   USD 22/04/24 18/05/16 ***.* *.** 18/05/16 ***.* *.**
Libanon, 6.65% 26feb2030, USD   USD 26/02/30 18/05/16 **.** *.** 18/05/16 **.** *.**
Libanon, 6.65% 3nov2028, USD   USD 03/11/28 18/05/16 **.** *.** 18/05/16 **.*** *.**
Libanon, 6.750% 29nov2027, USD   USD 29/11/27 18/05/16 ***.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.* *.**
Libanon, 7% 22apr2031, USD   USD 22/04/31 18/05/16 ***.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.*** *.**
Libanon, 7.0% 3dec2024, USD   USD 03/12/24 18/05/16 ***.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.** *.**
Libanon, 7.05% 2nov2035, USD   USD 02/11/35 18/05/16 *** *.** 18/05/16 ***.* *.**
Libanon, 7.9% 18dec2017, LBP   LBP 18/12/17 18/05/16 ***.**** *.** 18/05/16 ***.**** *.**
Libanon, 8.25% 12apr2021, USD   USD 12/04/21 18/05/16 ***.* *.** 18/05/16 ***.** *.*
Libanon, 9.0% 20mar2017, USD   USD 20/03/17 18/05/16 ***.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.* *.**
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