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Lebanon: bonds

Lebanon has a long tradition of domestic free trade and investment policies, with free market pricing for most goods and services, an unrestricted exchange and trade system and extensive links with the developed world in practically all economic activities. The Government has maintained a generally non-interventionist stance toward private investment, and public ownership has generally been limited to infrastructure and utilities. There are no restrictions on the movement of capital and goods by residents and non-residents of the Republic, including on entry or exit of firms or on access to foreign exchange, which makes Lebanon a supportive system for private sector development.
GDP registered high growth rates for the period from 1993 to 1995, averaging an estimated real growth rate of 7.2 percent per annum. Real GDP grew at slower estimated rates of 4.0 percent in 1996 and 1997, 3.6 percent in 1998, (0.5) percent in 1999 and 1.3 percent in 2000. Real GDP growth was 4.0 percent in 2001, 3.4 percent in 2002, and 3.2 percent in 2003. In 2004, real GDP growth increased to 7.5 percent, while declining to 1.2 percent in 2005. In 2006, real GDP growth was 1.4 percent, increasing to 8.4 percent in 2007, 8.6 percent in 2008, 9.0 percent in 2009 and 7.0 percent in 2010.
As of December 31, 2011, the Republic’s gross public debt was LL 80,869 billion (U.S.$53.6 billion) consisting of LL 49,340 billion of gross domestic debt and LL 31,529 billion of public external debt. Net outstanding public debt of the Republic was LL 69,885 billion (U.S.$46.4 billion) as of December 31, 2011.

Outstanding bond issues

Moneda Outstanding bond issues Cumulative volume
Soberano
LBP 231 30 219 126 391 850
USD 31 26 957 469 000
EUR 1 445 000 000
Corporativo
USD 2 650 000 000

Sovereign rating

Rating AgencyRatingRating scaleDate
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) *** Country Risk Classifications ***
Moody's Investors Service *** LT- foreign currency ***
Moody's Investors Service *** LT- local currency ***
S&P Global Ratings *** Foreign Currency LT ***
S&P Global Ratings *** Local Currency LT ***
Fitch Ratings *** LT Int. Scale (foreign curr.) ***
Fitch Ratings *** LT Int. Scale (local curr.) ***
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Latest bond issues

issue ISIN coupon volume end of placement maturity date
Libanon, 7.15% 20nov2031, USD - Bonos internacionales XS1720805537 7.15% 1 000 000 000  USD 20/11/17 20/11/31
Libanon, 6.5 10sep2020 - Bonos locales LBT170831368 6.5% 350 584 000 000  LBP 12/09/17 10/09/20
Libanon, 7.08 5sep2024 - Bonos locales LBT170831848 7.08% 240 567 000 000  LBP 12/09/17 05/09/24
Libanon, 6.74 1sep2022 - Bonos locales LBT170830600 6.74% 130 283 000 000  LBP 05/09/17 01/09/22
Libanon, 6.5 13aug2020 - Bonos locales LBT170827366 6.5% 400 294 000 000  LBP 15/08/17 13/08/20
Libanon, 7.08 8aug2024 - Bonos locales LBT170827846 7.08% 240 257 000 000  LBP 15/08/17 08/08/24
Libanon, 6.74 4aug2022 - Bonos locales LBT170826608 6.74% 130 956 000 000  LBP 08/08/17 04/08/22
Libanon, 7.46 22jul2027 - Bonos locales LBT1708250A2 7.46% 340 889 000 000  LBP 01/08/17 22/07/27
Libanon, 5.84 1aug2019 - Bonos locales LBT170825246 5.84% 250 658 000 000  LBP 01/08/17 01/08/19
Libanon, 6.74 21jul2022 - Bonos locales LBT170824603 6.74% 130 412 000 000  LBP 25/07/17 21/07/22

World Bond market statistics

Quarterly indices

Type I 2017 IV 2016 III 2016 II 2016 I 2016 IV 2015 III 2015
BIS volume of international-bond market of emerging countries
Lebanese international bonds, USD bln 40.800 39.200 39.100 39.100 37.100 37.400 35.800
BIS net issues of international-bond market of emerging countries
International-bond net issue of Lebanon, USD bln 1.600 0.100   2.000 -0.300 1.600 -0.500

Currencies

Daily indices

Type: 21/02/18 20/02/18 19/02/18 16/02/18 15/02/18 14/02/18 13/02/18
Exchange Rates (Emerging Markets)
USD/LBP 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000 1 507.5000
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Credit Risk Indicators

Daily indices

Type: 20/02/18 19/02/18 16/02/18 15/02/18 14/02/18 13/02/18 12/02/18
Default Probability
6M Default Probability Lebanon 1.2400 1.2200 1.3000 1.3000 1.2300 1.2000 1.2100
1Y Default Probability Lebanon 3.5800 3.5100 3.6600 3.6300 3.4300 3.3200 3.3400
2Y Default Probability Lebanon 9.5000 9.3000 9.5100 9.4200 8.4800 8.2100 8.2300
3Y Default Probability Lebanon 15.7200 15.4100 15.6100 15.4600 14.3300 13.8700 13.9100
4Y Default Probability Lebanon 21.9600 21.5300 21.7000 21.5000 20.4400 19.8000 19.8500
5Y Default Probability Lebanon 28.1700 27.6400 27.7300 27.4800 27.1800 26.3600 26.4200
7Y Default Probability Lebanon 38.6600 38.0300 37.6100 37.3100 37.8800 36.8800 36.9600
10Y Default Probability Lebanon 50.9100 50.2400 49.3200 49.0000 50.2200 49.1400 49.2200
15Y Default Probability Lebanon 66.3300 65.7200 64.4800 64.1900 65.7100 64.7300 64.8000
20Y Default Probability Lebanon 76.9700 76.4600 75.2500 75.0000 76.4800 75.6500 75.7100
30Y Default Probability Lebanon 89.1300 88.8100 87.9200 87.7600 88.8400 88.3100 88.3500
CDS Interactive Data 
CDS 6M Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 1Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 2Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 3Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 4Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 5Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 7Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 10Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 15Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 20Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS 30Y Lebanon * * * * * * *
CDS Emerging markets (sov.) 
CDS 5Y Lebanon mid * *   * * * *
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Macroeconomic Indicators (World economy)

Monthly indices

Type Dec 2017 Nov 2017 Oct 2017 Sep 2017 Aug 2017 Jul 2017 Jun 2017
Inflation Rate (World), % to the same period of the previous year
Inflation Rate (Lebanon) 5.01 4.79 4.62 4.15 5.10 3.12 3.48
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Yearly indices

Type 2016 2015 2014
Government Debt to GDP (World), %
Government Debt to GDP(Lebanon) 146.00 139.00 134.00

JP Morgan

Daily indices

Type: 30/10/13 29/10/13 28/10/13 25/10/13 24/10/13 23/10/13 22/10/13
EMBI Global (publication was suspended since 30.10.2013) 
EMBI Global Lebanon * * * * * * *
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Cotizaciones

issue volume maturity date bid prices ask prices
date bid price yield date ask price yield
Libanon, 3.750% 20jul2017, USD   USD 20/07/17 18/05/16 **.**** *.** 18/05/16 **.**** *.**
Libanon, 4.0% 31dec2017, USD   USD 31/12/17 18/05/16 **.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.*** *.**
Libanon, 4.750% 2nov2016, USD   USD 02/11/16 18/05/16 ***.*** *.** 18/05/16 ***.* *.**
Libanon, 5.0% 12oct2017, USD   USD 12/10/17 18/05/16 ***.*** *.** 18/05/16 ***.** *.**
Libanon, 5.0% 27may2018, USD   USD 27/05/18 18/05/16 **.**** *.** 18/05/16 ***.**** *.**
Libanon, 5.150% 12jun2018, USD   USD 12/06/18 18/05/16 **.* *.** 18/05/16 ***.* *.**
Libanon, 5.150% 12nov2018, USD   USD 12/11/18 18/05/16 ***.*** *.** 18/05/16 ***.** *.**
Libanon, 5.350% 28nov2018, EUR   EUR 28/11/18 18/05/16 ***.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.** *.**
Libanon, 5.450% 28nov2019, USD   USD 28/11/19 18/05/16 **.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.** *.**
Libanon, 5.5% 23apr2019, USD   USD 23/04/19 18/05/16 **.*** *.** 18/05/16 ***.*** *.**
Libanon, 5.8% 14apr2020, USD   USD 14/04/20 18/05/16 **.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.* *.**
Libanon, 6.0% 20may2019, USD   USD 20/05/19 18/05/16 ***.*** *.** 18/05/16 ***.* *.**
Libanon, 6.0% 27jan2023, USD   USD 27/01/23 18/05/16 **.*** *.** 18/05/16 **.** *.**
Libanon, 6.10% 4oct2022, USD   USD 04/10/22 18/05/16 **.*** *.** 18/05/16 **.** *.*
Libanon, 6.15% 19jun2020, USD   USD 19/06/20 18/05/16 ***.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.*** *.**
Libanon, 6.2% 26feb2025, USD   USD 26/02/25 18/05/16 **.*** *.** 18/05/16 **.** *.**
Libanon, 6.25% 4nov2024, USD   USD 04/11/24 18/05/16 ** *.** 18/05/16 **.** *.*
Libanon, 6.250% 12jun2025, USD   USD 12/06/25 18/05/16 **.** *.** 18/05/16 **.** *.**
Libanon, 6.375% 9mar2020, USD   USD 09/03/20 18/05/16 ***.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.** *.**
Libanon, 6.60% 27nov2026, USD   USD 27/11/26 18/05/16 **.** *.** 18/05/16 **.* *.**
Libanon, 6.65% 22apr2024, USD   USD 22/04/24 18/05/16 ***.* *.** 18/05/16 ***.* *.**
Libanon, 6.65% 26feb2030, USD   USD 26/02/30 18/05/16 **.** *.** 18/05/16 **.** *.**
Libanon, 6.65% 3nov2028, USD   USD 03/11/28 18/05/16 **.** *.** 18/05/16 **.*** *.**
Libanon, 6.750% 29nov2027, USD   USD 29/11/27 18/05/16 ***.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.* *.**
Libanon, 7% 22apr2031, USD   USD 22/04/31 18/05/16 ***.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.*** *.**
Libanon, 7.0% 3dec2024, USD   USD 03/12/24 18/05/16 ***.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.** *.**
Libanon, 7.05% 2nov2035, USD   USD 02/11/35 18/05/16 *** *.** 18/05/16 ***.* *.**
Libanon, 7.9% 18dec2017, LBP   LBP 18/12/17 18/05/16 ***.**** *.** 18/05/16 ***.**** *.**
Libanon, 8.25% 12apr2021, USD   USD 12/04/21 18/05/16 ***.* *.** 18/05/16 ***.** *.*
Libanon, 9.0% 20mar2017, USD   USD 20/03/17 18/05/16 ***.** *.** 18/05/16 ***.* *.**
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